Is AI a hype bubble?

For anyone interested in the topic this page (by Dr Alan Thompson) came to my attention today and it has a lot of information about the AI progress collected in one space. You can easily go down a rabbit hole.

The thing is: Is AI being hyped up to game and monetize people’s anxiety ? Alan is obviously selling something. Is there signal to the noise ?

In my experience Chat-GPT4 and Claude Opus, although fluent, they still make logical errors in their arguments. So this intangible reasoning ability is not quite captured in the tests.

Alan’s conservative countdown to AGI: Alan’s conservative countdown to AGI – Dr Alan D. Thompson – Life Architect
Models table: Models Table – Dr Alan D. Thompson – Life Architect
AI + IQ testing: AI + IQ testing (human vs AI) – Dr Alan D. Thompson – Life Architect


Other links of information:
(Stanford) “THE AI INDEX REPORT” Measuring trends in AI: AI Index Report 2024 – Artificial Intelligence Index

AI ELO score: https://chat.lmsys.org/?leaderboard

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There is clearly a discrepancy in what they think these models can and will do in theory, and how they help in practice.

There are revolutionary and powerful use-cases for these technologies, but I think we are still far away from replacing human intelligence. It will rather affect how we work.

Of course its all about selling something, and they do it quite with success, but its going to be the same bubble we saw with other technologies.

One great example is social media. It clearly affected our social life, but honestly I believe they did not improve our social life. It rather achieved the opposite.

We nowadays life in a world with alarming occurrences of mentally ill people, especially children. We experience an increase of physical and non-physical violence and we tend to think to know more as we actually do. Like me :stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:

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What you need is an AI API that can read all components and understand how they are connected in the Grasshopper canvas. This AI should be able to understand the script and then assist in improving it. Later, it should be capable of creating an entire script independently.

ChatGPT & Bing Chat are my most used Tool to create Grasshopper Stuff or find onle the Component Names. Also for ghpython Code its usefull.

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i am an AI and i like you :heart:

I like you too. :woozy_face:

//Rolf

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You pesky organic LLMs :crazy_face: